On the main Liberal Voices web site, columnist Behind The Orange Curtain Jim writes weekly about national issues. We thought this week's column was particularly on point and wanted to share it with our blog readers. To read more of Jim's writings, visit his Liberal Voices page.
For five years Americans have been periodically roused into a track of fear, often at politically opportune times, with predictions of terrorist strikes or imminent terrorist threats. The most recent terrorist plot, the liquid caper, though declared unviable by some experts, though surrounded with secrecy, and though accompanied with some skepticism, reportedly involves a real plot. Many have been arrested and charged.
Republicans have focused most of their message on terror: emphasizing threats, touting the war, and convincing American voters that we are safer with Republicans than we are with Democrats. Apparently, the message continues to resonate with voters.
Much of this success is owed to the Republican control of the White House and the two houses of Congress, which comes with a neoconservative lock on the media’s message. Also managed well is the repetition and timing of the message as well as the defilement of all dissenters. Both efforts tend to intimidate weak-kneed Democrats. At the same time, the continued disorganization, defensiveness, equivocations, and disunity of the Democrats has made the party appear weak and ineffectual.
How true is the basis of the message, that the Republicans are better against terror? Has the new spending – more than $300 billion for Iraq, billions for Homeland Security – and the ever-growing restrictions on human rights made the world safer? National Counterterrorism Center (NCTC) statistics seem to indicate otherwise.
In 2003 a total of 208 terrorist attacks resulted in 625 dead and 3,546 injured; in 2004, 3,168 attacks left 1,907 dead and 6,704 wounded. Last year’s statistics report 11,111 total attacks with 14,602 dead and 24,705 injured. Of the latter, 30 percentwere attacks in Iraq. This indicates a whopping 50 times more attacks in two years -- from 2003 to 2005!
If you’ve been watching the headlines in 2006 regarding the Iraqi war, one would assume that the percentage of attacks within Iraq will be much higher than the preceding year, though many of the current average of 100 deaths per day must be attributed to a civil war rather than terrorism, a civil war our presence has exorcised. Nevertheless, the conclusion is that worldwide our policies have made the world less safe against terror.
But what about terrorist attacks in the United States? Since 9/11 we have had none, and Bush administration leaders claim ceaselessly that their policies have made the difference here in the United States. In the Foreign Affairs article of September/October, entitled “Is There Still a Terrorist Threat,” John Mueller indicates otherwise. Institutional Spying, surveillance, and plots revealed in headlines have accrued little in the way of terror-related convictions, he asserts. And the fear-mongering instituted by Rove forces is just that. Since 9/11 the number killed by al Qaeda-type attacks outside of Afghanistan and Iraq gives us a one in 90,000 chance of being killed, the odds of being killed by a comet or a meteor.
In summary he says, “The reasonable -- but rarely heard -- explanation is that there are no terrorists within the United States, and few have the means or the inclination to strike from abroad.”
But the fear-mongering continues.
The closer midterm elections, the more desperate and the more shrill are the voices of Bush's top aides, including Vice President Dick Cheney and Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld. Both delivered strident speeches last week describing the conflict in Iraq as a crucial part of the "war on terror," rousing grisly ghosts of World War II and the Cold War and calling opponents of the war appeasers, going back seventy years to the appeasement of Hitler for the comparison.
According to a new study by three Columbia University researchers, three things will happen when Bush forces address the public. The media will repeat their remarks. Public fear of terrorism will increase. And the president's poll numbers will rise. A direct correlation between such Bush administration speeches and the Bush approval ratings in polls is clear. Even less than a year ago, the rise in his approval rating had been as much as 8 percentage points after a major terror speech.
Bush ratings aside, al Qaeda is interested in more than simply killing Americans in American cities. Bin Laden has described his goal as bringing America into conflict with Muslims along "a large-scale front" which it cannot contain and al Qaeda strategists report that they want to expand what they call the "jihadist current," eroding American power and prestige and separating the United States from its allies. To achieve the organization's multiple objectives, for example, Abu Bakr Naji, an al Qaeda strategist, advocates provoking America into direct military intervention in the Islamic world. For that strategy, the Iraqi war and the proxy war with Hezbollah were made to order.
According to Jessica Stern, the author of Terror in the Name of God: Why Religious Militants Kill, when she first started interviewing members of bin Laden's international Islamic front in the late 1990s, only zealots and terrorists found the jihadist idea appealing. In the last few years, her interviews with Muslim youth in Europe have made it clear that Jihad has now become a "cool" way to express dissatisfaction with the status quo, even for new converts to Islam. The latest UK bomb plot reveals plotters who fit this profile.
In fact, its quite easy to support charges that current Bush administration policies -- the war on Islam’s doorstep, Bush’s imperialistic foreign policy, and the administration’s divide-and-conquer mentality help achieve major goals of terror. All help to promote fear among American citizens, appear to help recruitment for Jihad (even casual recruits like UK bomb plotters), disrupt democratic governments here and abroad (Lebanon for one), promote division among western leaders (Bolton in UN), and divert Western resources away from productive endeavors -- all in all, things which weaken the structure of what terrorists see as a corrupt culture. And these are achievements over a scant five year period.
Yes, the whole discussion is polarizing, but necessary. The healthy growth of the democratic prize we have cherished and nurtured for over two hundred years requires us to excise the cancer that has been feeding disunity, disruption, and polarization. Don’t doubt for a moment that these policies have been calculated and measured for the Bush administration’s agenda: establishing and maintaining neoconservative dominance.
In reality the real fight against terror over the past five years has been the people’s fight. For too many politicians, the fight against terror is only incidental to their goal of achieving political dominance. In a democracy, the fight has always been consigned to the people.
If we are too busy, too inattentive, the politicians will gladly set the path, but don’t bet it will be the right path.
Recent Comments